Defensive-Dime
0xafed8a856160d2ed60d17362e85c03d947216be5
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$96.78
Total PnL
$-94.79
Realised
$-4.09
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
268 shares @ 11.0¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$25.83
$-3.61
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
112 shares @ 16.7¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.31
$-0.34
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
36 shares @ 61.3¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$18.18
$-3.90
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
18 shares @ 85.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.93
$0.97
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
67 shares @ 7.5¢·now 11.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.90
$2.90
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
18 shares @ 43.7¢·now 21.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.83
$-4.05
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.97
$0.69
- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.95
$0.09
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2 shares @ 81.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.79
$0.17
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.10
$0.07
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13.85Jun 9, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.30Jun 9, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16.38Jun 9, 10:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.57Jun 9, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$8.53Jun 9, 10:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$11.68Jun 9, 10:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$14.70Jun 9, 10:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$15.05Jun 2, 08:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $15.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 00:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.