Idle-Aardvark
0xaffa4b83959247bf317c15730f3b7fec57e0d35b
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$100.91
Total PnL
$41.08
Realised
$16.94
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
33 shares @ 61.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$33.00
$12.80
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?
30 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$30.00
$0.43
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
22 shares @ 13.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$22.00
$19.14
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
17 shares @ 50.9¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.80
$7.15
- YES
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
31 shares @ 31.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.11
$-9.79
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
10 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUkraine election held by December 31, 2026?$1.43Jun 8, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election held by December 31, 2026?$1.43Jun 8, 03:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$9.67Jan 21, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?$5.60Jan 19, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?$17.71Jan 19, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?$11.86Jan 19, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?$0.85Jan 16, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?$1.04Jan 16, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$8.92Jan 16, 04:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.95Jan 14, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$9.47Jan 13, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$9.36Jan 13, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$8.70Jan 12, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?$3.85Jan 10, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?$7.28Jan 7, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?$8.84Jan 7, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?$2.86Jan 5, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?$4.80Jan 5, 09:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$40.67Jan 5, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$4.65Jan 5, 00:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $14.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 28, 22:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 07:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.