Grand-Crisis
0xb033ed204ae3398920fc68c8cebaeaed17689e1b
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$34.75
Total PnL
$-130.80
Realised
$-0.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
514 shares @ 7.8¢·now 5.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$28.26
$-11.74
- YES
Will Luis Diaz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
583 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.67
$-0.33
- YES
Will Viktor Gyökeres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
131 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.83
$0.28
- YES
Will the DHS shutdown end between May 18-24 2026?
200 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-58.01
- YES
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
200 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?
83 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-05-08?
30 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- YES
Will MrBeast say "Donate" or "Donated" during his next YouTube video?
13 shares @ 22.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will "Kawhi" or "Leonard" be said on ICEMAN?
7 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.10May 18, 10:19 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.78May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?$5.47May 17, 18:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?$11.00May 17, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?$46.02May 17, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?$54.89May 17, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?$6.11May 17, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?$68.50May 17, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?$62.18May 17, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?$0.23May 17, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?$4.08May 17, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?$85.64May 17, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?$86.90May 17, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Viktor Gyökeres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.08May 17, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Viktor Gyökeres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.15May 17, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Viktor Gyökeres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.03May 17, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Viktor Gyökeres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.13May 17, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Donate" or "Donated" during his next YouTube video?$3.09May 16, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Kawhi" or "Leonard" be said on ICEMAN?$2.06May 16, 07:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$124.54May 15, 08:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $24.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 17:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".