Uneven-Mustache
0xb0a0212fa5b8acc4155f1efd870d7a52806cd84f
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$17.55
Total PnL
$-45.37
Realised
$-0.30
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
152 shares @ 2.6¢·now 3.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.95
$0.95
- YES
Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?
4 shares @ 43.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.70
$2.08
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 87.7¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.33
$0.33
- YES
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
3 shares @ 15.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.94
$2.50
- YES
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026?
14 shares @ 8.3¢·now 5.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.74
$-0.46
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.73
$-0.27
- YES
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
19 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.16
$-0.01
- YES
Will SPD win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
136 shares @ 34.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-47.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?$0.66Apr 9, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tochigi SC win on 2026-03-08?$5.57Apr 9, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMAnother critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?$0.00Apr 9, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "JD" or "Vance" during events with Rutte?$0.00Apr 9, 06:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$2.40Apr 9, 06:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar strike Iran by April 30?$0.41Apr 9, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.71Apr 9, 02:27 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$0.00Apr 9, 00:57 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage$0.00Apr 9, 00:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 9, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$2.88Apr 9, 00:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?$1.30Apr 8, 23:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Dimona by April 30?$0.09Apr 8, 22:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$7.95Apr 8, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$1.71Apr 8, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Putin" during events with Rutte?$0.22Apr 8, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$0.70Apr 8, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?$14.98Apr 8, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?$19.87Apr 8, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during events with Rutte?$0.42Apr 8, 19:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $7.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 15:58 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 09:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.