0xb0fe1db47965bb1cead99085f96b36b4c65169a4
0xb0fe1db47965bb1cead99085f96b36b4c65169a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$12.84
Total PnL
$-8.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
7 shares @ 92.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
2 shares @ 80.3¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.90
$-0.10
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
1 shares @ 94.5¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the Small Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Cboe Futures Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?
112 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$1.01Jul 22, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$1.01Jul 22, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$1.01Jul 22, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?$1.05Jul 19, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?$0.21Jul 17, 23:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?$0.10Jul 17, 22:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?$0.10Jul 17, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.01Jul 16, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?$1.03Jul 15, 22:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?$6.15Jul 14, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$1.01Jul 12, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)$1.03Jul 12, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)$1.03Jul 12, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$5.01Jul 11, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.01Jul 11, 23:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?$1.65Jul 11, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?$1.28Jul 10, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?$1.01Jul 9, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$1.01Jul 9, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$1.01Jul 9, 08:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 19:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 19:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.