Infatuated-Occupation
0xb11997a4f89efb15246d5f429320275fd157f8cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$3.2K
Total PnL
$-25.9K
Realised
$-5.0K
Win rate
41%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
2000 shares @ 52.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.5K
$430.00
- NO
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
1000 shares @ 72.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$945.00
$225.00
- YES
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
3626 shares @ 73.4¢·now 8.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$310.03
$-2.4K
- NO
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
300 shares @ 41.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$253.50
$130.50
- YES
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?
859 shares @ 65.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$128.79
$-429.30
- YES
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
137 shares @ 15.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$41.67
$21.18
- YES
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?
569 shares @ 54.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$37.02
$-270.51
- YES
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
220 shares @ 55.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$34.08
$-86.86
- YES
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
60 shares @ 60.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.80
$-28.20
- NO
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
40779 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.9K
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$200.00Jul 19, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$120.42Jul 16, 14:45 UTC
- REWARD$3.26Jun 24, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?$3.30Jun 23, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?$13.10Jun 23, 03:29 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?$2.99Jun 22, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?$7.21Jun 22, 05:33 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?$2.99Jun 22, 05:23 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?$2.11Jun 18, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?$0.49Jun 8, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?$0.57Jun 7, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?$24.36Jun 4, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?$3.06May 7, 18:39 UTC
- REDEEMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$210.00May 7, 18:38 UTC
- REDEEMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$5.0KMay 5, 09:32 UTC
- REDEEMUSD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.0KApr 24, 17:28 UTC
- REDEEMEdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?$912.90Apr 2, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMBackpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?$28.00Mar 25, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $500M one day after launch?$5.33Mar 20, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.02Mar 20, 20:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
41% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $27.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 14:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 22:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.