Legitimate-Airman
0xb1a190be02cafacb6c30b98beb621503d5e2d308
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$37.0K
Total PnL
$400.27
Realised
$102.87
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?
4601 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$4.5K
$13.77
- NO
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?
3379 shares @ 97.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.4K
$67.95
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
2954 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.9K
$37.21
- NO
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?
2812 shares @ 98.1¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.8K
$14.64
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?
2568 shares @ 97.3¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.6K
$65.91
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
2362 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.4K
$30.03
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
2216 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.2K
$37.20
- NO
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?
2171 shares @ 84.5¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.0K
$118.87
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
1262 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.3K
$21.42
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?
871 shares @ 93.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$870.41
$55.47
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?$14.62Jul 28, 23:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Gay" or "Homosexual" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$320.00Jul 28, 22:38 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$1.1KJul 28, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 40 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?$16.45Jul 28, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?$68.88Jul 28, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?$75.96Jul 28, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?$110.00Jul 28, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$0.77Jul 28, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?$91.20Jul 28, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?$90.98Jul 28, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$185.40Jul 28, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$2.80Jul 28, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Gay" or "Homosexual" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$314.16Jul 28, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?$44.44Jul 28, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?$29.97Jul 28, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?$19.98Jul 28, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ariana Grande officially release Petal by August 31, 2026?$7.42Jul 28, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ariana Grande officially release Petal by August 31, 2026?$26.20Jul 28, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ariana Grande officially release Petal by August 31, 2026?$34.71Jul 28, 13:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $118.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 19:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.