Ill-Fated-Merchant
0xb1c5edbc8045a2786ffd58551df31c4ebdb3bb2c
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$18.74
Total PnL
$-4.31
Realised
$0.27
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
17 shares @ 52.0¢·now 39.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.78
$-2.18
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.77
$0.78
- YES
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?
7 shares @ 54.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$2.49
$-1.15
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 14.0¢·now 20.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.04
$0.34
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 25.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.73
$-0.27
- YES
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$0.58
$-0.42
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
15 shares @ 6.7¢·now 3.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.54
$-0.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-06-27?$3.693d ago
- REDEEMWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?$0.003d ago
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$0.693d ago
- REDEEMPolymarket surpasses Robinhood on Similar Web in 2026?$1.253d ago
- YIELD$0.0044d ago
- YIELD$0.0049d ago
- YIELD$0.0050d ago
- YIELD$0.0051d ago
- YIELD$0.0052d ago
- YIELD$0.0053d ago
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28?$1.7255d ago
- YIELD$0.0057d ago
- YIELD$0.0058d ago
- YIELD$0.0061d ago
- YIELD$0.0062d ago
- YIELD$0.0063d ago
- YIELD$0.0064d ago
- YIELD$0.0065d ago
- YIELD$0.0066d ago
- YIELD$0.0067d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $2.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 74d ago
- Last active
- 3d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.