Different-Windshield
0xb22085e3eae25e5f96568f84c7b25b9bf7c45f71
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
156
Open notional
$5.4K
Total PnL
$186.30
Realised
$-63.28
Win rate
69%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 156- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
356 shares @ 71.3¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$287.14
$32.99
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
289 shares @ 88.7¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$264.64
$8.17
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
267 shares @ 84.1¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$244.63
$19.86
- YES
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
251 shares @ 81.5¢·now 89.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$225.71
$21.20
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
250 shares @ 76.9¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$196.27
$4.00
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
200 shares @ 94.4¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$190.19
$1.30
- NO
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
198 shares @ 77.1¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$183.46
$30.50
- YES
Will Trump post "Gold" or "Golden" on Truth Social this week?
165 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$164.92
$0.08
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
161 shares @ 67.2¢·now 82.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$133.46
$25.07
- NO
Will Las Vegas Night Owls finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball Orlando Event?
130 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$128.57
$-0.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in July 2026?$6.64Jul 28, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Patriot" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$4.13Jul 28, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s remarks not air?$9.90Jul 28, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$14.53Jul 28, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Rigged" on Truth Social this week?$48.65Jul 28, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$0.54Jul 28, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$0.66Jul 28, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$0.00Jul 28, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$1.10Jul 28, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?$17.61Jul 28, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?$35.37Jul 28, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Elon Musk in July 2026?$22.69Jul 28, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Miguel Díaz-Canel in July 2026?$101.96Jul 28, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in July 2026?$1.42Jul 28, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?$44.86Jul 28, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 24, 2026?$25.70Jul 28, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?$27.92Jul 28, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?$381.96Jul 28, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Gold" or "Golden" on Truth Social this week?$164.84Jul 28, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Las Vegas Night Owls finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball Orlando Event?$99.05Jul 28, 06:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
69% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $35.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 06:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 17:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.