Unimportant-Estimate
0xb22286fa6aae823129fca4bc70f93d0b167ed26b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-186.99
Realised
$0.77
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
1435 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Was Kanye hacked?
282 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.66
- NO
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
246 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
204 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
182 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Lilo and Stitch be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?
179 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
164 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Santa deliver between 8,100,000,000 and 8,200,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
132 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- CHINESE TAIPEI
First Round Pool C: Chinese Taipei vs. Japan
116 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$20.83May 31, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$10.16May 30, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$5.08May 30, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?$1.00Apr 6, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?$1.00Apr 3, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?$1.00Mar 30, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?$5.00Mar 30, 07:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?$16.92Mar 15, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?$5.00Mar 15, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$1.00Mar 12, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$1.00Mar 10, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$1.00Mar 9, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$1.00Mar 8, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMFirst Round Pool A: Canada vs. Colombia$10.00Mar 8, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst Round Pool C: Chinese Taipei vs. Japan$10.00Mar 5, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$4.00Mar 5, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$5.00Mar 5, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.4 released by March 5?$3.00Mar 5, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst Round Pool A: Panama vs. Colombia$10.00Mar 2, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst Round Pool A: Canada vs. Colombia$5.00Mar 2, 09:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $5.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 14:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 10:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".