Wretched-Passing
0xb22326c1770aa89dfb2b372137e570a360433772
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
95
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-126.82
Realised
$0.89
Win rate
31%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 95- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
444 shares @ 45.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$228.89
$28.89
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
109 shares @ 69.2¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$93.88
$18.78
- YES
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
100 shares @ 55.5¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$91.39
$35.93
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
77 shares @ 75.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$76.42
$18.42
- NO
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
130 shares @ 38.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$70.99
$21.49
- NO
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
57 shares @ 70.4¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$51.40
$11.41
- YES
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score
95 shares @ 52.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$49.05
$-0.45
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
49 shares @ 57.3¢·now 95.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$47.12
$18.95
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
43 shares @ 74.7¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$42.88
$10.45
- YES
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?
113 shares @ 23.9¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.68
$9.68
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 2nd Half O/U 0.5$1.13Jun 21, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 2nd Half O/U 0.5$1.13Jun 21, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 2nd Half O/U 0.5$1.12Jun 21, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 2nd Half O/U 0.5$1.12Jun 21, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 2nd Half O/U 0.5$1.13Jun 21, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 2nd Half O/U 0.5$1.12Jun 21, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 2nd Half O/U 0.5$1.13Jun 21, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 2nd Half O/U 0.5$1.12Jun 21, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 2nd Half O/U 0.5$1.13Jun 21, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 2nd Half O/U 0.5$1.12Jun 21, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 2nd Half O/U 0.5$1.13Jun 21, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 2nd Half O/U 0.5$1.12Jun 21, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 2nd Half O/U 0.5$1.13Jun 21, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 2nd Half O/U 0.5$1.12Jun 21, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 2nd Half O/U 0.5$1.13Jun 21, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 2nd Half O/U 0.5$1.12Jun 21, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUruguay to win the second half?$1.13Jun 21, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 1.5$1.13Jun 21, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 1.5$1.13Jun 21, 23:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
31% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 12:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.