Twin-Behavior
0xb2376b774a1dbb1ac904e424607520376bf1d8d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$4.0K
Total PnL
$-623.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
1674 shares @ 65.7¢·now 58.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$979.22
$-120.78
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2078 shares @ 38.5¢·now 23.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$497.65
$-302.35
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
649 shares @ 61.6¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$392.94
$-7.06
- YES
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
483 shares @ 62.1¢·now 81.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$391.00
$91.00
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
625 shares @ 48.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$346.88
$46.88
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
784 shares @ 51.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$341.18
$-58.82
- YES
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
1185 shares @ 21.1¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$242.95
$-7.05
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
253 shares @ 79.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$220.10
$20.24
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
455 shares @ 44.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$209.09
$9.09
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
331 shares @ 60.5¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$186.76
$-13.24
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.10Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $1.5K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.