Whispered-Diary
0xb26080fb188f2ecb132e2577243b6011c71c9d59
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
87
Open notional
$618.91
Total PnL
$-21.57
Realised
$-6.12
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- YES
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
118 shares @ 84.7¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$111.56
$11.56
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
23 shares @ 87.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
22 shares @ 89.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$17.08
$-2.92
- YES
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
21 shares @ 70.2¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.35
$1.35
- NO
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
18 shares @ 80.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.75
$1.35
- YES
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
19 shares @ 79.3¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.32
$0.32
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
21 shares @ 70.4¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
17 shares @ 90.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$14.59
$-0.41
- YES
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?
16 shares @ 61.4¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.43
$4.59
- YES
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
17 shares @ 58.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$12.67
$2.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?$5.11Jun 13, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$10.17Jun 13, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$0.00Jun 13, 21:09 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?$0.00Jun 13, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?$4.06Jun 13, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?$5.80Jun 12, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?$1.26Jun 12, 01:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?$3.45Jun 11, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?$5.29Jun 11, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$5.02Jun 11, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$10.29Jun 11, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?$4.50Jun 11, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$5.00Jun 11, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$5.03Jun 11, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tim Cook say "Privilege" during the Apple WWDC 2026 event on June 8th?$0.00Jun 11, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tim Cook say "Apple Intelligence" 5+ times during the Apple WWDC 2026 event on June 8th?$0.00Jun 11, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill John Ternus say "M5" during the Apple WWDC 2026 event on June 8th?$0.00Jun 11, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill John Ternus say "Privilege" during the Apple WWDC 2026 event on June 8th?$0.00Jun 11, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill John Ternus say "Google" during the Apple WWDC 2026 event on June 8th?$3.19Jun 10, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMAnother critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?$7.25Jun 10, 05:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $4.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 16:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 21:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.