Acrobatic-Vampire
0xb288894291335cefea7a0ca91b04e9757931fa0f
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
63
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-772.38
Realised
$58.52
Win rate
60%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- YES
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
316 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- NO
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $67m?
240 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?
216 shares @ 92.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?
193 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-19.28
- YES
"Demon Slayer" grosses higher than "The Conjuring" opening weekend?
170 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-4.08
- YES
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $145m?
147 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?
139 shares @ 23.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-33.00
- NO
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?
120 shares @ 25.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?$9.97Jul 22, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: South Africa 0 - 0 Canada?$10.15Jun 28, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$169.19Jun 28, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLSouth Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 0.5$11.33Jun 28, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLSouth Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score$22.53Jun 28, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSouth Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 0.5$10.11Jun 28, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSouth Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score$20.14Jun 28, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$14.33Jun 21, 22:45 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by July 31, 2026?$3.21Jun 21, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 22, 2026?$69.32Jun 21, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 22, 2026?$10.16Jun 21, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$20.00Jun 21, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by July 31, 2026?$3.12Jun 21, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 22, 2026?$50.50Jun 21, 11:23 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$101.58Jun 18, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$100.00Jun 16, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$115.38Jun 13, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$99.65Jun 13, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$100.00Jun 13, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$100.00Jun 13, 12:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $48.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 18:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 15:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.