Close-Building
0xb2b7587a74ce0ffd78f2e793950746b74d92aad2
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$6.0K
Total PnL
$-344.41
Realised
$-2.93
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
2300 shares @ 91.3¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.1K
$49.16
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1500 shares @ 89.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$44.96
- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
1000 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$986.50
$36.50
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
1000 shares @ 94.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$973.50
$33.50
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
200 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 19, 2026$199.20
$0.40
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
200 shares @ 84.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$181.00
$13.00
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 89.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$95.50
$6.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 21?
642 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-128.40
- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
286 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 20?
200 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-76.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$94.81May 18, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$54.83May 18, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$2.77May 18, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$46.39May 18, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$530.00May 18, 07:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.39May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.39May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.39May 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$34.09May 15, 15:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Zuckerberg attend Trump’s Xi summit?$96.66May 15, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$498.57May 15, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$29.71May 15, 11:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.39May 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$84.54May 14, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$200.00May 14, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi only be photographed together during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$100.00May 14, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi handshake last less than 2 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$130.62May 14, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5$16.00May 14, 04:35 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5$12.60May 14, 04:34 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons$100.00May 14, 04:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $74.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".