Upset-Question
0xb3a112230b2a4a31562b134ed8cee9de4efcca4b
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$192.90
Total PnL
$-111.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?
193 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$192.90
$-0.10
- NETS
Hornets vs. Nets
51 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.08
- BULLS
Bulls vs. Kings
50 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-28.50
- BULLS
Bulls vs. Thunder
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- WARRIORS
Warriors vs. Nuggets
49 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.30
- MAVERICKS
Warriors vs. Mavericks
44 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-21.10
- NETS
Nets vs. Trail Blazers
43 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.30
- ROCKETS
Rockets vs. Timberwolves
42 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-23.10
- NETS
Nets vs. Lakers
39 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
- MAGIC
Magic vs. Cavaliers
37 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-7.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?$193.01May 17, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$240.99May 17, 06:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$241.01May 13, 06:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$258.90May 13, 06:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 8, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$259.09May 7, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$221.71May 7, 05:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 7, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$222.05May 6, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Georgia win Eurovision 2026?$193.78May 6, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Georgia win Eurovision 2026?$194.01May 6, 04:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$234.68May 6, 04:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 6, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$235.07May 5, 04:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $218.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 14:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 06:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".