Severe-Running
0xb3a19832f2f7594d0880a49f45ad15475ccc775b
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$3.2K
Total PnL
$-6.2K
Realised
$-1.5K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?
1000 shares @ 75.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$745.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?
822 shares @ 73.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$686.30
$86.30
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
682 shares @ 44.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$596.59
$296.59
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20000 shares @ 2.5¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$508.00
$8.00
- YES
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?
500 shares @ 66.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$317.50
$-12.50
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1796 shares @ 16.7¢·now 13.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$238.02
$-61.97
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 7.5¢·now 6.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$66.50
$-8.50
- NO
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
100 shares @ 33.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$31.50
$-1.50
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
6998 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
4800 shares @ 32.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.07Jun 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 15, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria win on 2026-06-22?$333.37Jun 14, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$755.63Jun 14, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$33.66Jun 14, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$307.50Jun 14, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$77.08Jun 14, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-17?$604.86Jun 14, 07:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$514.63Jun 12, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$1.5KMay 7, 22:58 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$2.0KMay 7, 22:58 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$2.0KMay 7, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$118.00Apr 23, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$103.06Apr 19, 05:34 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$97.16Apr 17, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$84.41Apr 17, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$945.00Apr 16, 10:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $527.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 23:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.