Aching-Excitement
0xb3ecb8040b5a652c8af4320e626bc2292540871e
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.69
Total PnL
$-12.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%?
687 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.69
$-7.77
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
5 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.91
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?$0.12Apr 14, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%?$2.46Apr 12, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$1.91Apr 12, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?$3.00Apr 9, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.97Apr 9, 13:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.01Apr 9, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%?$5.00Apr 8, 23:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$0.92Apr 8, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$1.00Apr 8, 23:27 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?$0.91Apr 8, 23:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$2.44Apr 8, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$2.00Apr 8, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$0.97Apr 8, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$0.97Apr 8, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.75Apr 8, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$0.50Apr 8, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother Iranian diplomat expelled by April 30?$0.31Apr 8, 15:53 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by April 30?$0.36Apr 8, 15:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 7-13?$0.52Apr 7, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6?$0.00Apr 7, 15:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 22:36 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 21:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.