Thick-Clutch
0xb42d8bc7665442108084b76a5102dfea1e7df33e
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$85.85
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$14.72
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
600 shares @ 12.0¢·now 11.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$67.20
$-4.80
- NO
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
310 shares @ 18.3¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$9.46
$-47.18
- YES
Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.00
$-12.00
- NO
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.20
$-10.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2600 on June 2 at 5 PM ET?
2000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Karla Sofía Gascón be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?
1633 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-70.51
- YES
Will Owen Cooper be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?
1504 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-64.25
- YES
Will another player win NFL MVP for the 2024-2025 season?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Brown and MIT shooters confirmed to be same person?
1400 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-49.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
1250 shares @ 28.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-352.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$11.32May 28, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$0.08May 28, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$37.59May 28, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$20.90May 28, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays$37.97May 25, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?$30.82May 14, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLTampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays$63.56May 11, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays$32.50May 11, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaptors vs. Cavaliers$6.56May 4, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jays$1.81Mar 31, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jays$2.85Mar 31, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jays$7.46Mar 31, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jays$5.70Mar 31, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jays$7.46Mar 31, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jays$2.85Mar 31, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jays$3.99Mar 31, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jays$1.43Mar 31, 00:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?$16.96Mar 31, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jays$2.85Mar 31, 00:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 40-44 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?$23.91Mar 17, 16:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $21.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 22:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 09:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".