Confused-Borrower
0xb471fa75d853d89faca64c5a22c0d7e82fb4b7f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$55.45
Total PnL
$-40.67
Realised
$-7.64
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
128 shares @ 23.5¢·now 36.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$46.91
$16.91
- NO
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$3.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Juventus qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
21 shares @ 20.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$2.67
$-1.44
- NO
Will Roma qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
21 shares @ 20.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$2.56
$-1.54
- YES
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.31
$-4.69
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
500 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-11.36
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
31 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
16 shares @ 42.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
14 shares @ 35.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$1.07May 18, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$0.00May 18, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$2.14May 18, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$2.13May 18, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$2.12May 18, 13:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$2.22May 18, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$12.50May 18, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$2.12May 18, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$2.12May 18, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$5.07May 18, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$5.07May 18, 13:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$4.13May 18, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$2.09May 18, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$5.20May 18, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$2.12May 18, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$2.11May 18, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$2.10May 18, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$4.09May 18, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$2.10May 18, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$11.44May 18, 13:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $3.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 09:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 13:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".