Willing-Yurt
0xb4b05017041e9ca354926b1d48f0f8690ec4e14c
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$3.6K
Total PnL
$529.90
Realised
$182.31
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
2326 shares @ 43.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.2K
$197.68
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
1817 shares @ 55.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.1K
$144.50
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
1406 shares @ 64.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.0K
$105.47
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$100.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
372 shares @ 26.9¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$86.43
$-13.57
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
513 shares @ 3.9¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.05
$-7.95
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60 shares @ 16.7¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.61
$-0.39
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
98 shares @ 67.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-66.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
88 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$900.00Jun 12, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$1000.00Jun 12, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1000.00Jun 12, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$2.1KJun 12, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$827.73Jun 12, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$800.00Jun 12, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$800.00Jun 12, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$20.00Jun 12, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by June 8?$0.00Jun 12, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$1.2KJun 12, 04:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$25.12Jun 11, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$50.00Jun 11, 14:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$1000.00Jun 9, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$982.58Jun 9, 17:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $617.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.