Half-Thrift
0xb4d7e65d51c1f3a7951c84f0f9b7bed7e939f73a
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$130.66
Total PnL
$-118.28
Realised
$1.91
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
500 shares @ 2.3¢·now 11.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$56.00
$44.50
- YES
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?
85 shares @ 11.7¢·now 57.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.13
$39.18
- YES
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
320 shares @ 2.3¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.08
$2.72
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
486 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.81
$-2.92
- YES
Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026?
92 shares @ 10.6¢·now 5.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.74
$-5.01
- YES
Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2026?
126 shares @ 3.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.91
$0.13
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?
15023 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-143.28
- NO
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
1666 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?
1000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$11.66Jun 12, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$0.10Jun 12, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$4.00Jun 12, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$4.00Jun 11, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?$0.11Jun 11, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$0.00Jun 11, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be less than $100?$0.68Jun 11, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be less than $100?$0.82Jun 11, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be less than $100?$1.11Jun 11, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be less than $100?$0.08Jun 11, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be less than $100?$1.87Jun 11, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be less than $100?$0.02Jun 11, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be less than $100?$0.66Jun 11, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be less than $100?$0.25Jun 11, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?$0.03Jun 11, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$0.03Jun 11, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$0.00Jun 11, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$10.39Jun 11, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?$0.79Jun 11, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?$0.01Jun 11, 19:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 07:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 02:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.