Last-Flour
0xb4dd8fde7262f639297dbcec94deb3668af6a0fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$10.82
Total PnL
$-10.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.17
$1.17
- YES
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.00
$1.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.92
$0.92
- YES
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.59
$0.59
- YES
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.32
$-0.68
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.25
$-0.75
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
4 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Jan 29, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Jan 29, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?$1.00Jan 29, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYFlying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 29, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?$1.00Jan 29, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 29, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.00Jan 29, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.00Jan 29, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15?$1.00Jan 29, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?$1.00Jan 29, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.00Dec 25, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?$1.00Dec 25, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?$1.00Dec 25, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$1.00Dec 25, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Dec 25, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nvidia" this week? (November 3 - 9)$1.00Nov 6, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.74Nov 6, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$2.19Nov 6, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Oct 16, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$1.00Oct 16, 11:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 4, 08:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 29, 08:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.