Jaunty-Brick
0xb4e40b9f6fea9e332583c8bb9cb8c84dff6a9ced
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$125.41
Total PnL
$-488.61
Realised
$41.67
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- NO
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
412 shares @ 12.1¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$96.74
$46.74
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.88
$1.88
- YES
Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in May?
70 shares @ 7.1¢·now 6.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.79
$-0.21
- YES
Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in May?
70 shares @ 14.3¢·now 6.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.48
$-5.52
- NO
Will Trump say "Xi" this week?
38 shares @ 18.6¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$3.94
$-3.06
- YES
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$1.86
$0.86
- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
65 shares @ 3.8¢·now 2.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.73
$-0.75
- YES
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
1333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?$10.64May 17, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in May?$5.00May 17, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in May?$10.00May 17, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$51.76May 17, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Xi" this week?$7.23May 17, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$5.24May 16, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$8.40May 16, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win Eurovision 2026?$5.25May 16, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$125.26Apr 13, 10:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Gulf of America" in February?$0.00Apr 13, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Gulf of America" in February?$0.00Apr 13, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 8)$0.00Apr 13, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMFirst to 5k: Gold or ETH?$0.00Apr 13, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEM Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?$0.00Apr 13, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike Iran next?$0.00Apr 13, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike Iran next?$0.00Apr 13, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$0.00Apr 13, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation?$0.00Apr 13, 10:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $33.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 21:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 10:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".