PoliticsExpires May 31, 2026
Creator

Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in May?

Probability

6¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-3.0pp

24h Vol

$1.9K

Liquidity

$13.5K

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Confidence
extracted · medium
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
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Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 30, 2026, 23:00May 4, 2026, 07:33
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 3pp over 24h

    Now 6¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 02
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $13.5k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 640.4h

    LOW

Price movement

-3.0pp over the last 24h, now 6¢.

Biggest hourly move: -47.0pp at 12:00 (to 3¢).

Show top 8 of 13 hourly moves
  • 02:00 · -32.5pp → 5¢
  • 21:00 · -37.0pp → 4¢
  • 20:00 · -36.5pp → 5¢
  • 19:00 · -38.4pp → 3¢
  • 17:00 · -39.2pp → 2¢
  • 15:00 · -39.2pp → 2¢
  • 14:00 · -43.1pp → 3¢
  • 12:00 · -47.0pp → 3¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

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updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventWho will Trump speak to in May?
Category · Politics

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. If the date/time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.

Alerts

¢
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Top Holders

18 wallets
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