Digital-Academy
0xb4fc3b8dfa7e5966df6d7ed8932e87eb46aaa926
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$52.5K
Total PnL
$-11.9K
Realised
$-3.3K
Win rate
50%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
15022 shares @ 97.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.0K
$274.82
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
10121 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.1K
$86.04
- NO
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
10132 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.0K
$-35.45
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
5000 shares @ 92.5¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.7K
$97.50
- NO
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
3000 shares @ 92.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.9K
$186.00
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
2198 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.0K
$-10.99
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
2403 shares @ 69.2¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$222.81
- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
2815 shares @ 56.8¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.6K
$-10.01
- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
2145 shares @ 69.9¢·now 65.3¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$1.4K
$-99.31
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 92.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$984.00
$64.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$600.00Jul 29, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$1000.00Jul 29, 02:34 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$6.23Jul 29, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$1000.00Jul 29, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$3.0KJul 29, 00:35 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$3.00Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$411.41Jul 28, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$500.00Jul 28, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$4.0KJul 28, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$426.85Jul 28, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$1.9KJul 28, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$570.00Jul 28, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$3.18Jul 28, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$768.00Jul 28, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$266.25Jul 28, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$295.14Jul 28, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$1.2KJul 28, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$633.18Jul 28, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$205.13Jul 28, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$770.00Jul 28, 06:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$31.9K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
Jun 2, 16:10 UTC → Jun 15, 16:48 UTC
- BUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$7.0K@100¢Jun 15, 16:48 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 3 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
limited
3 ledger trades
Top market concentration
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?
$14.9K · 47% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $931.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 00:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 03:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.