Clear-Balloon
0xb5122573a20be2455af0343ba229ee0df0b9aba5
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$765.18
Total PnL
$-30.45
Realised
$-59.77
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?
600 shares @ 58.8¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$413.94
$61.37
- YES
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?
300 shares @ 37.1¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$120.00
$8.57
- YES
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
100 shares @ 54.3¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$67.00
$12.75
- YES
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
229 shares @ 19.6¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$53.82
$8.97
- YES
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026
200 shares @ 33.1¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$35.00
$-31.17
- YES
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?
100 shares @ 24.3¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$28.00
$3.74
- YES
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?
211 shares @ 18.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$27.43
$-10.47
- YES
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?
111 shares @ 22.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$19.98
$-4.44
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?$34.83Jun 10, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLAbstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?$73.96Jun 10, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?$190.22Jun 10, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLAbstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?$254.46Jun 10, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026$56.40Jun 10, 19:33 UTC
- TRADESELLAbstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?$47.18Jun 6, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLAbstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?$53.72Jun 6, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLAbstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?$77.45Jun 6, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $800M one day after launch?$66.36Jun 6, 01:12 UTC
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $800M one day after launch?$145.40Jun 5, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $1B one day after launch?$15.42Jun 2, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$20.79Jun 2, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $800M one day after launch?$44.18Jun 1, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$69.37Jun 1, 13:09 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2.03Jun 1, 13:09 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$72.57Jun 1, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2.55Jun 1, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$12.86Jun 1, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$25.71Jun 1, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$25.71Jun 1, 13:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $56.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 13:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 19:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.