0xb55974a02f7be68b9dfa941cbdbe7ae4f9415e7c
0xb55974a02f7be68b9dfa941cbdbe7ae4f9415e7c
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$14.5K
Total PnL
$1.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
22574 shares @ 31.1¢·now 41.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$9.4K
$2.3K
- YES
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
6402 shares @ 21.4¢·now 34.1¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.2K
$812.05
- YES
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
14829 shares @ 8.3¢·now 4.9¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$719.20
$-505.68
- NO
Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?
953 shares @ 49.3¢·now 59.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2028$567.03
$97.04
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2240 shares @ 24.5¢·now 19.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$433.51
$-116.48
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2966 shares @ 16.9¢·now 11.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$345.56
$-154.43
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
799 shares @ 25.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$215.44
$15.44
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1606 shares @ 10.6¢·now 13.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$212.79
$42.80
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1369 shares @ 7.3¢·now 9.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$126.60
$26.60
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
217 shares @ 46.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$96.74
$-3.26
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.14Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$37.81Jul 28, 20:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$28.51Jul 24, 01:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$112.30Jul 24, 01:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$10.36Jul 23, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$30.62Jul 23, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$23.14Jul 23, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$20.58Jul 23, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$20.69Jul 23, 15:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $42.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.