Lawful-Relationship
0xb5aa80fc3ebec3317e2a5586f36f85781465c200
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
135
Open notional
$213.26
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$604.27
Win rate
76%
59 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 135- NO
Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?
50 shares @ 92.2¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$49.80
$3.70
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
60 shares @ 62.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$46.50
$9.30
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
35 shares @ 70.4¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.63
$5.97
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
150 shares @ 36.5¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.25
$-25.50
- YES
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
200 shares @ 11.2¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$15.00
$-7.40
- YES
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 6,000 in 2026?
85 shares @ 25.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$14.92
$-6.39
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
30 shares @ 53.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$11.25
$-4.65
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 70.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.03
$2.03
- YES
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?
100 shares @ 15.0¢·now 3.7¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$3.70
$-11.30
- YES
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
350 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$3.33
$-12.62
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$4.80Jun 12, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?$6.61Jun 11, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?$1.34Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$10.35Jun 10, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?$5.26Jun 10, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?$2.84Jun 10, 18:23 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$0.24Jun 10, 18:13 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$5.00Jun 10, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$0.20Jun 10, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$3.06Jun 10, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$11.20Jun 9, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$10.20Jun 9, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$2.24Jun 9, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$3.07Jun 9, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$0.58Jun 9, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$0.31Jun 9, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$6.49Jun 9, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$0.31Jun 9, 05:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$9.96Jun 9, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$13.92Jun 8, 22:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $9.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 04:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 02:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 59 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.