Cumbersome-Bout
0xb5e0d0121ff0f33c6a7e3cea8103f705e1de2020
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$34.62
Total PnL
$-99.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
2 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.89
$0.49
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
2 shares @ 71.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.82
$0.52
- NO
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
2 shares @ 77.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.77
$0.39
- NO
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
2 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.66
$0.35
- NO
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.60
$0.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
2 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.58
$0.46
- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
2 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.54
$0.34
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.51
$0.01
- NO
Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.45
$0.00
- YES
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.38
$0.11
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Apr 24, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day?$1.23Apr 23, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?$1.12Apr 23, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?$1.18Apr 23, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.45Apr 23, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.33Apr 23, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.20Apr 23, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.29Apr 23, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.60Apr 23, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.38Apr 23, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.40Apr 23, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.36Apr 23, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.29Apr 23, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.34Apr 23, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.26Apr 23, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.31Apr 23, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.20Apr 23, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.5 be released on April 24, 2026?$1.13Apr 23, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?$1.27Apr 23, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?$1.11Apr 23, 02:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 25, 12:45 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.