Yawning-Celebrity
0xb5fd5467f6d30ffef84694c213b687f8c13a1873
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$502.46
Total PnL
$9.5K
Realised
$11.5K
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$467.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 27, 2026?
15 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.95
$-0.15
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 73.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.57
$-0.38
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 6, 2026?
11 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.43
$-0.02
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
32190 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-852.08
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
25000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-125.00
- NO
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
12999 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-779.94
- NO
Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
1169 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-51.35
- NO
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
1000 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-179.00
- YES
Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31?
524 shares @ 15.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-79.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?$471.97Jun 4, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$10.95Jun 4, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 6, 2026?$10.47Jun 4, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 27, 2026?$14.13Jun 4, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$10.00Jun 4, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?$3.0KMay 18, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?$98.60May 18, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?$589.94May 18, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?$545.18May 18, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?$4.89May 18, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$32.18May 18, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$6.55May 18, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$34.30May 18, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$28.36May 18, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$3.49May 18, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$3.49May 18, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?$0.10May 18, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?$361.26May 18, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?$35.18May 17, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?$35.18May 17, 17:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $596.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 16, 20:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 09:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".