Smart-Tuxedo
0xb665d1fbf3b9ccc977ca7a7b8973cad686554994
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
58
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-97.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- NO
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
501 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$499.75
$-0.25
- NO
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
611 shares @ 33.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$201.62
$0.00
- NO
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
258 shares @ 63.9¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$157.58
$-7.42
- NO
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
148 shares @ 70.8¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$104.51
$-0.49
- NO
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
587 shares @ 17.2¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$73.33
$-27.29
- YES
Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?
82 shares @ 70.4¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$62.98
$5.38
- YES
Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch?
86 shares @ 46.4¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$39.24
$-0.76
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
32 shares @ 86.5¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.28
$1.28
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
229 shares @ 9.6¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$24.17
$2.17
- YES
Ethereal FDV above $100M one day after launch?
78 shares @ 34.5¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$23.85
$-3.15
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$2.04Jun 13, 05:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereal FDV above $2B one day after launch?$0.07Jun 12, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYOstium FDV above $100M one day after launch?$13.50Jun 12, 01:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-12? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$5.13Jun 11, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$1.02Jun 11, 23:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Casemiro score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.07Jun 11, 23:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.05Jun 11, 23:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?$549.75Jun 11, 23:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?$168.51Jun 10, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?$381.99Jun 10, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$533.35Jun 10, 10:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 10, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.06Jun 10, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYOstium FDV above $100M one day after launch?$7.26Jun 9, 09:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$100.87Jun 8, 10:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $69.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 00:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 05:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.