Shadowy-Geology
0xb67933a3679672c802e0ac1bddb6f7380a580e5e
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
198
Open notional
$284.26
Total PnL
$-439.55
Realised
$4.90
Win rate
73%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 198- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
13 shares @ 44.9¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.02
$3.11
- YES
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
19 shares @ 33.6¢·now 42.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.98
$1.72
- NO
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
8 shares @ 73.2¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$7.79
$2.06
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60 shares @ 9.7¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.87
$1.07
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
8 shares @ 70.7¢·now 80.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.80
$0.81
- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
7 shares @ 80.0¢·now 90.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.64
$0.76
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
8 shares @ 75.7¢·now 83.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$6.54
$0.61
- NO
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
8 shares @ 76.7¢·now 80.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.46
$0.27
- NO
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
7 shares @ 86.6¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.30
$0.37
- NO
Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?
8 shares @ 70.2¢·now 73.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$6.16
$0.28
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$4.71Jun 14, 11:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$5.95Jun 14, 11:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$4.95Jun 14, 11:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$1.67Jun 13, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$7.75Jun 13, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$3.28Jun 13, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$1.02Jun 13, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$3.90Jun 13, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$2.28Jun 13, 12:47 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$0.61Jun 13, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$5.98Jun 13, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$2.85Jun 13, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$0.70Jun 13, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$3.10Jun 13, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.20Jun 13, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 13, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$1.05Jun 13, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5)$2.25Jun 13, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5)$3.85Jun 13, 07:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $2.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 19:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 11:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.