Same-Trading
0xb6c37065a287990092813a82d3f0ee5ec384cf5c
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
90
Open notional
$11.55
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$6.28
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 90- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
200 shares @ 6.4¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.50
$-5.30
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
40 shares @ 16.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.82
$-4.58
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
60 shares @ 6.6¢·now 2.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.52
$-2.44
- YES
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
110 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.39
$-0.71
- YES
Will there be between 60 and 80 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
100 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.25
$-8.75
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.07
$-4.93
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
35366 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
8533 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-600.15
- YES
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be at least $250?
4989 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-151.21
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?
2200 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-36.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$5.00Jul 3, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?$10.40Jul 3, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$50.40Jul 3, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?$24.80Jul 3, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?$10.02Jul 1, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?$12.24Jul 1, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$4.80Jul 1, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?$0.52Jul 1, 12:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$1.1KJun 30, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.20Jun 30, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?$12.00Jun 30, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?$6.00Jun 30, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$6.00Jun 30, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?$6.00Jun 30, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?$1.02Jun 30, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$0.60Jun 30, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?$6.00Jun 30, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$0.60Jun 30, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$0.90Jun 30, 13:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $16.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 14:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 17:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.