Superior-Consideration
0xb6cb0e2c37c63b0800f942b29cf834d1f27b21cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
70
Open notional
$72.31
Total PnL
$-13.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- NO
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
3 shares @ 91.6¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.19
$0.19
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 79.3¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.23
$0.23
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.20
$0.20
- NO
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
2 shares @ 91.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.20
$0.20
- NO
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?
2 shares @ 91.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.18
$0.18
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
2 shares @ 89.4¢·now 96.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.15
$0.15
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.15
$0.15
- NO
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.15
$0.15
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 89.5¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.04
$0.04
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
2 shares @ 86.5¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jun 30, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?$1.00Jun 30, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$1.01Jun 30, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?$1.00Jun 30, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by July 31?$1.00Jun 30, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?$1.00Jun 30, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jun 30, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jun 30, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jun 30, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jun 30, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?$1.00Jun 30, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?$1.01Jun 30, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?$1.08Jun 30, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?$1.12Jun 30, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$1.16Jun 30, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$1.33Jun 30, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?$2.22Jun 30, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$7.06Jun 30, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMGemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?$1.09Jun 5, 12:46 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.10Jun 5, 12:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 07:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 07:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.