Trusting-Election
0xb6cd0a4286b54d80a1d16bb14b499f7104afdcee
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$18.18
Total PnL
$-2.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?
2 shares @ 93.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$2.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.67
$0.67
- YES
Will Robert Irwin & Witney Carson win Dancing with the Stars Season 34?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$1.37
$0.37
- YES
Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.35
$0.35
- YES
Will Drake Baldwin win the National League Rookie of the Year?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$1.33
$0.33
- YES
Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.32
$0.32
- T1
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$1.28
$0.28
- YES
Will Trump make no announcement by December 31 to replace Lisa Cook?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.22
$0.22
- YES
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 23 minutes?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$1.19
$0.19
- YES
Will Helena Moreno win the 2025 New Orleans mayoral election?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$1.16
$0.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.00Feb 11, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$1.00Feb 4, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$1.00Jan 27, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$1.00Jan 21, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$1.00Dec 30, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.00Dec 24, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYAztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.00Dec 17, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$1.00Dec 8, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$1.00Nov 26, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Irwin & Witney Carson win Dancing with the Stars Season 34?$1.00Nov 19, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win UEFA Group G for 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Nov 11, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$1.00Nov 5, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Oct 28, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Diplo run the 5k in under 23 minutes?$1.00Oct 22, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake Baldwin win the National League Rookie of the Year?$1.00Oct 14, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?$1.27Oct 8, 08:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$2.32Oct 8, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)$1.00Oct 8, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?$1.00Sep 23, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$1.00Sep 10, 11:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 07:59 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 11, 05:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".