Grouchy-Orchestra
0xb6e273e5c3e512ef27a01652ff914e94bcc0c404
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$59.74
Total PnL
$-35.59
Realised
$-13.19
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Eric Swalwell out as US Rep by May 31?
11 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.13
$0.11
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
24 shares @ 78.6¢·now 36.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.83
$-10.26
- YES
Will Trump attend UFC 327?
7 shares @ 96.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$7.36
$0.28
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
7 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.72
$0.22
- NO
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?
5 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.96
$0.03
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.88
$0.08
- NO
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
5 shares @ 90.3¢·now 91.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.63
$0.06
- NO
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?
4 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.08
$1.10
- YES
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
10 shares @ 35.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.52
$-0.94
- YES
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score
3 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$2.52
$0.58
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.05Jun 13, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$2.19Jun 12, 17:44 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.40Jun 12, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.04Jun 12, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.80Jun 12, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2.92Jun 11, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2.31Jun 11, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.25Jun 11, 19:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.42Jun 11, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$3.14Jun 11, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$3.17Jun 11, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$4.80May 15, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$4.59May 15, 16:19 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 15?$9.58May 15, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$9.43May 14, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$9.13May 14, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$6.24May 12, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$2.89May 12, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$9.80May 12, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$3.87May 12, 09:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 08:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 14:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.