Bossy-Interchange
0xb6e3ad7a58ac7b8c166da776d24d1bb62e304c92
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$524.17
Total PnL
$-141.05
Realised
$-2.00
Win rate
4%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- ANTHROPIC
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
241 shares @ 83.4¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$223.03
$22.03
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
100 shares @ 91.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$97.35
$6.35
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
89 shares @ 86.0¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$82.29
$6.07
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
33 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$30.16
$0.16
- YES
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
34 shares @ 89.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.31
$-1.69
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
48 shares @ 62.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$23.47
$-6.53
- YES
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
14 shares @ 73.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.30
$1.30
- NO
Anduril IPO before 2027?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.31
$0.31
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$5.26
$0.26
- NO
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp May 30, 2027$4.97
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?$5.03Aug 6, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.56Jul 29, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?$30.00Jul 21, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.06Jul 20, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.72Jul 20, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMPresident Trump to Attend World Cup Final?$10.75Jul 19, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?$30.13Jul 19, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5$1.01Jul 18, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5$1.02Jul 18, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$1.02Jul 18, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$1.02Jul 18, 12:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.64Jul 18, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jul 18, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?$6.56Jul 18, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?$4.06Jul 16, 10:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$2.63Jul 15, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.05Jul 15, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jul 15, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.97Jul 15, 15:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
49/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
4% win rate over 25 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
25 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $10.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 6, 12:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.