Hard-Larva
0xb766be2ee36ae2d42b236e3fb16dbfb317351d83
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$39.6K
Total PnL
$48.48
Realised
$1.1K
Win rate
56%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
12422 shares @ 70.4¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.0K
$2.3K
- YES
Will Haiti finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
6743 shares @ 83.7¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.4K
$790.90
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
5935 shares @ 37.2¢·now 60.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$3.6K
$1.4K
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
4056 shares @ 63.6¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.5K
$886.33
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
17753 shares @ 15.2¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.8K
$159.44
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
13364 shares @ 16.3¢·now 16.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.2K
$-9.13
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
13517 shares @ 9.2¢·now 10.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.5K
$206.29
- YES
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
7553 shares @ 44.2¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.3K
$-2.0K
- NO
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
917 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$877.47
$24.31
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
795 shares @ 90.7¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$785.06
$64.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland finish second in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$227.57Jun 15, 09:11 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5$244.17Jun 15, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5$252.02Jun 15, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$420.38Jun 15, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$80.79Jun 15, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$131.29Jun 15, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$75.85Jun 15, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBelgium leading at halftime?$76.24Jun 15, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$455.13Jun 15, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?$121.04Jun 15, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?$181.57Jun 15, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the fight be won by KO or TKO?$50.00Jun 15, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the fight be won by KO or TKO?$37.78Jun 15, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5$60.69Jun 15, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5$36.72Jun 15, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5$12.32Jun 15, 02:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$274.68Jun 15, 01:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?$0.04Jun 15, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?$92.92Jun 15, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.00Jun 15, 00:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$6.9K
Trades
1
Buy share
0%
Window
Jun 14, 02:10 UTC → Jun 14, 02:01 UTC
- SELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$6.9K@98¢Jun 14, 02:01 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$6.9K
1 trades
30d volume
$6.9K
1 trades
Buy share
0%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
$6.9K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $333.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 01:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 09:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.