Brief-Sill
0xb79e0eb0341f698131e0ac5c5a5fb3f35466f7f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$71.05
Total PnL
$-59.41
Realised
$8.54
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?
15 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$14.16
$-0.09
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
16 shares @ 82.1¢·now 82.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.61
$0.08
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
13 shares @ 85.9¢·now 87.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$11.38
$0.20
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
17 shares @ 62.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$10.79
$0.26
- NO
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of July 27 2026?
10 shares @ 84.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.20
$0.80
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
11 shares @ 83.6¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$8.98
$-0.46
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
9 shares @ 47.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.94
$-1.06
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?
79 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.03
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?
20 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-17.40
- YES
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 10-16?
15 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$4.08Jul 28, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$5.31Jul 28, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$4.13Jul 28, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of July 27 2026?$8.45Jul 28, 02:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$11.00Jul 28, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?$4.87Jul 28, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?$14.30Jul 28, 02:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?$9.87Jul 28, 02:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$11.73Jul 28, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?$3.31Jul 22, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?$6.69Jul 22, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?$6.41Jul 22, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$6.04Jul 22, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$4.08Jul 22, 04:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.93Jul 22, 04:07 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out before 2027?$7.21Jul 22, 04:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?$12.19Jul 22, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.00Jul 20, 01:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 20, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?$11.31Jul 15, 11:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $6.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 09:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 04:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.