Wary-Break
0xb7c0927b099b749bc8f5d7520c29c85c32bb60c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-908.76
Realised
$-1.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
1044 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-120.68
- YES
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
747 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-82.92
- YES
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
490 shares @ 50.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-248.38
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
440 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-127.63
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
394 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-22.98
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
221 shares @ 45.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?
208 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?
189 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
99 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-39.42
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? AND Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$10.29Jun 12, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$263.16Jun 12, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$51.14Jun 12, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$101.41Jun 12, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 11?$8.08Jun 11, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$101.86Jun 11, 21:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$645.60Jun 11, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$450.08Jun 11, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 8?$450.00Jun 11, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 11?$8.00Jun 11, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 8?$450.00Jun 8, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$458.46Jun 8, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$458.00Jun 4, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$404.04Jun 4, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$400.28Jun 4, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$1.05Jun 4, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - June 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$176.81Jun 4, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - June 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$175.16Jun 4, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Mark Rutte in May?$182.77Jun 4, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$271.17Jun 4, 07:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $173.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 21:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 15:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.