Wicked-Sonnet
0xb7d54bf1d0a362beb916d9cb58a04c41d67e0789
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$9.1K
Total PnL
$202.72
Realised
$-133.97
Win rate
43%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
2503 shares @ 89.2¢·now 86.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$2.2K
$-67.56
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
2185 shares @ 73.4¢·now 78.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.7K
$111.20
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
2500 shares @ 44.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$162.10
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
1603 shares @ 66.0¢·now 71.4¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.1K
$85.80
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
988 shares @ 81.2¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$706.05
$-95.89
- NO
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
667 shares @ 54.3¢·now 50.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$333.78
$-28.42
- YES
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
676 shares @ 25.2¢·now 40.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$276.87
$106.32
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
363 shares @ 72.5¢·now 74.6¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$270.57
$7.46
- NO
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?
278 shares @ 61.3¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$168.22
$-2.27
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
371 shares @ 53.3¢·now 42.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$155.74
$-41.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$8.04Jul 23, 13:53 UTC
- MERGEWill Remco Evenepoel win the 2026 Tour De France?$282.37Jul 23, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Remco Evenepoel win the 2026 Tour De France?$196.60Jul 23, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Remco Evenepoel win the 2026 Tour De France?$65.96Jul 23, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Remco Evenepoel win the 2026 Tour De France?$17.14Jul 23, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Remco Evenepoel win the 2026 Tour De France?$4.99Jul 23, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Remco Evenepoel win the 2026 Tour De France?$3.68Jul 23, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Remco Evenepoel win the 2026 Tour De France?$0.21Jul 23, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$33.09Jul 23, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$3.20Jul 23, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$24.28Jul 23, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?$1.87Jul 23, 11:55 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.31Jul 23, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?$3.05Jul 22, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?$21.37Jul 22, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.31Jul 22, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$10.91Jul 22, 17:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alireza Firouzja Win the Chennai Grand Masters Tournament$0.00Jul 22, 16:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arjun Erigaisi Win the Chennai Grand Masters Tournament$0.00Jul 22, 16:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nodirbek Abdusattorov Win the Chennai Grand Masters Tournament$0.00Jul 22, 16:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
43% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $16.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 06:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 13:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.