Granular-Choosing
0xb83e5883b9181e23e86479c078b53faf5fd710fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$360.74
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$321.04
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
344 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$343.83
$0.52
- NO
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
19 shares @ 75.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.91
$2.66
- OVER
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5
1555 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-497.60
- NO
Will "Silicon Valley" be said 2+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
920 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-772.80
- YES
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
544 shares @ 50.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-273.63
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on February 23?
476 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-57.12
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
440 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-198.00
- OVER
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5
407 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-97.68
- NO
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 3 of the 2026 flu season be between 50 and 60?
382 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-34.38
- NO
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 6 be greater than 2,300,000?
344 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-123.84
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$2.10Apr 21, 03:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$4.41Apr 12, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$13.43Apr 12, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?$516.66Apr 11, 23:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$121.60Apr 11, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Silicon Valley" be said 2+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$772.80Apr 10, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$121.60Apr 10, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$58.00Apr 10, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$613.00Apr 10, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$134.14Apr 9, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine election held by December 31, 2026?$89.27Apr 9, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?$457.80Mar 30, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$458.00Mar 26, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$151.79Mar 22, 18:57 UTC
- TRADESELLAnduril IPO before 2027?$152.28Mar 21, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnduril IPO before 2027?$154.16Mar 20, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$93.59Mar 19, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$9.60Mar 19, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 18?$50.82Mar 18, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$112.71Mar 17, 13:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $145.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 15:10 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 03:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".