Imaginary-Trade
0xb886813fbc2ef1a542e3879bfe3002255d5072fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$122.24
Total PnL
$6.24
Realised
$0.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
20 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.00
$2.80
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 95.3¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.91
$0.85
- NO
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?
20 shares @ 91.6¢·now 96.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.36
$1.04
- NO
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?
20 shares @ 86.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$19.27
$2.07
- NO
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?
20 shares @ 90.9¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.95
$0.77
- NO
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?
20 shares @ 81.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.81
$2.61
- UP
Canada's population Up or Down this year?
9 shares @ 47.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$4.10
$-0.33
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?
20 shares @ 12.0¢·now 5.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.19
$-1.21
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?
20 shares @ 6.8¢·now 3.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.64
$-0.72
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.37
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?$9.66May 10, 11:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?$20.00May 8, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$20.00May 8, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the April Meeting?$20.00May 8, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by 3.2% in March?$40.00May 8, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$50.00Apr 2, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?$2.40Mar 30, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$46.00Mar 30, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?$1.28Mar 30, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 3.2% in March?$6.80Mar 29, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?$0.08Mar 29, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?$7.70Mar 29, 10:45 UTC
- MERGEWill annual inflation increase by 3.2% in March?$10.00Mar 29, 08:53 UTC
- MERGEWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?$10.00Mar 29, 08:53 UTC
- MERGEWill US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?$20.00Mar 29, 08:53 UTC
- MERGEWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?$20.00Mar 29, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?$1.60Mar 27, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?$1.30Mar 27, 13:44 UTC
- MERGEWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?$20.00Mar 27, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 3.2% in March?$8.20Mar 25, 22:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $8.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 19:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 11:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.