Shiny-Forecast
0xb8a60d40a0096a6549fc11d1490a27a12a21c13f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$-551.42
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Iran strike on Israel in June?
4998 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-482.62
- NO
Will Tim Walz drop out by January 6?
4622 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-369.79
- NO
Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?
3930 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.43
- YES
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times April 18–25?
2389 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in August?
1974 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-276.36
- YES
Solana above $130 on March 21?
1667 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $113K and $114K on August 3 at 5PM ET?
1290 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-503.10
- YES
Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?
552 shares @ 15.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2025$0.00
$-83.34
- NORFOLK STATE
Norfolk State vs. Florida
242 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2025$0.00
$-6.08
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
163 shares @ 51.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-83.84
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$85.17Feb 25, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?$1.00Jan 10, 23:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?$83.94Jan 10, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?$243.25Jan 7, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?$7.76Jan 7, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?$0.45Jan 7, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?$15.34Jan 7, 21:56 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 16, 2026?$269.03Jan 7, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz drop out by January 6?$369.79Jan 5, 12:49 UTC
- TRADESELLMaduro mugshot released by Monday?$324.65Jan 5, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 16, 2026?$63.50Jan 5, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLMaduro mugshot released by Monday?$108.64Jan 5, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 16, 2026?$1.67Jan 5, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 16, 2026?$129.00Jan 5, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLMaduro mugshot released by Monday?$130.20Jan 5, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 16, 2026?$174.85Jan 4, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro mugshot released by Monday?$248.76Jan 4, 02:23 UTC
- TRADESELLMaduro mugshot released by Monday?$248.76Jan 4, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro mugshot released by Monday?$257.45Jan 4, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$257.45Jan 4, 01:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $151.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 21:02 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 25, 00:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".