Feisty-Gynaecology-Mobility
0xb913f935611643b951e458db86fab2dcd3aab4d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$962.44
Total PnL
$-627.43
Realised
$-13.98
Win rate
0%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
215 shares @ 93.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$209.57
$9.57
- NO
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
300 shares @ 73.3¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$203.99
$-16.00
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
208 shares @ 96.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$200.31
$0.31
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
110 shares @ 91.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$108.74
$8.74
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
100 shares @ 81.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$80.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
75 shares @ 53.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$56.23
$16.23
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
57 shares @ 87.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$53.16
$3.16
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
35 shares @ 86.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.98
$-8.02
- YES
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
26 shares @ 76.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$21.71
$1.71
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
12 shares @ 42.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$6.25
$1.25
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Aug 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Aug 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Colombia by December 31?$67.99Aug 13, 15:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Aug 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Colombia by December 31?$152.00Aug 12, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$81.00Aug 12, 16:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Aug 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Aug 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Aug 10, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?$40.00Aug 9, 20:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Aug 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Aug 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Aug 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Aug 6, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$40.94Aug 5, 15:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Aug 5, 02:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Aug 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Aug 3, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?$3.00Aug 2, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?$21.42Aug 2, 17:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 28 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
9 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
28 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $106.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 00:20 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.