Naughty-Anniversary
0xb917f74842ecc1c42436b9d3adce7a550a5729b0
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$30.58
Total PnL
$-12.43
Realised
$0.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$4.74
$-0.26
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 94.7¢·now 94.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
3 shares @ 58.5¢·now 57.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.96
$-0.04
- NO
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.83
$-0.17
- YES
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
3 shares @ 61.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.51
$-0.49
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
5 shares @ 54.8¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.50
$-1.50
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.45
$0.45
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.37
$0.37
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- YES
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 64.2¢·now 65.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADESELLKurds declare independence from Iran?$0.2213h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.0013h ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.0013h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$1.0013h ago
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$1.0013h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$1.0013h ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$1.0013h ago
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$1.0013h ago
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$1.0013h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$1.0013h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.0013h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.0013h ago
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?$2.2513h ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$1.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$1.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?$1.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Prymorske by June 30, 2026?$1.001d ago
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$1.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?$2.002d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 28d ago
- Last active
- 13h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
