Experienced-Specialist
0xb943c91557ece0d6a62044d00ec9664aaf079bbe
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$2.2K
Total PnL
$-161.51
Realised
$-7.65
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
1160 shares @ 58.4¢·now 59.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$690.33
$13.33
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
162 shares @ 72.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$158.95
$42.20
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1006 shares @ 14.9¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$144.35
$-5.59
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
120 shares @ 91.8¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$116.49
$6.49
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
116 shares @ 95.2¢·now 96.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$110.88
$0.88
- NO
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
124 shares @ 89.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$110.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
117 shares @ 94.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$107.07
$-2.93
- YES
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
155 shares @ 64.6¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$99.82
$-0.18
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
204 shares @ 49.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$96.94
$-3.06
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
94 shares @ 92.7¢·now 96.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$90.19
$3.19
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$99.00Jun 13, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?$101.77Jun 13, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$40.00Jun 13, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$103.43Jun 13, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$300.00Jun 13, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$100.00Jun 13, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$30.00Jun 13, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?$10.00Jun 13, 18:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$53.68Jun 7, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$31.36Jun 7, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$22.35Jun 7, 05:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $59.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 05:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.