0xba0b958b726c1d64829f294bb852fee274847278
0xba0b958b726c1d64829f294bb852fee274847278
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-3.4K
Realised
$-11.62
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
3347 shares @ 15.2¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$820.02
$311.91
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
300 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$299.85
$140.85
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2258 shares @ 1.8¢·now 2.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$49.68
$8.97
- YES
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
300 shares @ 16.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.50
$-7.50
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
70 shares @ 31.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.90
$-2.80
- YES
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
500 shares @ 3.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.25
$-8.75
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
20 shares @ 0.9¢·now 2.2¢·exp Aug 14, 2028$0.45
$0.26
- YES
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
25000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
21000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-220.90
- YES
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 31, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$41.00Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
15 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $19.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 13:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 31, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.