Novel-Mill
0xba299348554af1eb24de1c0b0daabe2cf34fe5c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$15.08
Total PnL
$-103.24
Realised
$5.73
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
Will Frank Ocean release an album in 2026?
13 shares @ 40.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.19
$0.19
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
20 shares @ 20.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.70
$-1.30
- YES
Will Frank Ocean release a new song in 2026?
9 shares @ 35.1¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.26
$-0.74
- YES
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
3 shares @ 59.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
26 shares @ 15.4¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.68
$-2.32
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
10 shares @ 40.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.25
$-2.75
- YES
Sam Altman in jail by June 30?
18 shares @ 10.8¢·now 1.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.25
$-1.75
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
1427 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Frank Ocean release a new song in 2026?$3.10Jun 3, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Frank Ocean release an album in 2026?$5.15Jun 3, 23:46 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 31?$14.93Jun 3, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.05May 16, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.04May 16, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.04May 16, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.03May 16, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$10.00May 16, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.00May 16, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$5.56May 16, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.00May 16, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?$1.47May 15, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 31?$1.04May 12, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$1.04May 12, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake feature Giveon on ICEMAN?$1.03May 12, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$2.73May 12, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.03May 11, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1.04May 11, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1.05May 11, 12:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $2.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 18:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 23:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".